发改委:货币发行过量等四原因致物价大涨
昨天15时,国家发改委价格司副司长周望军接受中国政府网专访,就“认清形势妥善应对保持价格总水平基本稳定”进行解读,并回答网民提问。
全年CPI涨幅要比3%高一点
有网友问及对当前和明年的价格形势的基本判断,周望军回答说:现在来看全年CPI涨幅要比3%要高一点,但也高不了多少,可能就多一点点。10月、11月、12月价格仍然会高位运行,10月和11月会高一些,12月份涨幅可能会低一些,全年只会比3%多一点点而已。
四措施应对物价持续涨幅偏高
关于具体应对物价持续涨幅偏高的措施,周望军指出以下措施:
第一是发展农业生产,保障粮食、生猪等基本消费品的供应。
第二是保障供应,现在的物资很充分,保证供应没有任何问题。
第三要对低收入群体适当补贴,使他们生活不因为物价上涨而降低。
第四是采取一些宏观的措施,比如运用财政政策,加强市场价格监管,防止游资进行炒作等。
防止通胀有保障请大家放心
访问中,主持人问现在是不是已经形成了实际的通货膨胀。周望军回答到,这次涨价的特点跟2004、2007、2008年涨价的原因和品种都有所区别。2004年价格上涨是由于粮食减产,2007年是猪肉短缺引起的,这次主要是以食品价格上涨为主,实际上根源是因为粮食价格上涨引起的。
周望军分析当前的物价上涨过快有四个原因:第一个是货币发行过量,第二是有一些临时性的因素如灾害天气导致蔬菜价格上涨,第三是农村的生产资源相对减少,第四是热钱炒作。
周望军特别强调,这次上涨的特点不是因为短缺而引起的,而是流动性过剩引起的。需要指出的是,价格虽然上涨了,但是重要物资储备充分,防止通货膨胀有充足的物质基础和手段保障,这一点请大家放心。
周望军说:对普通的消费者,我提一个建议,就是理性的消费,要相信政府完全有能力来调控市场,保持价格的基本稳定。
不许炒作群众基本生活必需品
网友“大米”问及“有没有好的方法应对游资炒作”时,周望军回答说:现在可以采取几个方面的措施。第一,不允许炒作群众基本生活必需品,如粮油蛋等。第二,政府要进一步完善制度。第三,建立专门机制防范。应该监控游资动向,严格制止他们进入实体经济,对居民生活必需品进行炒作。
抑制价格上涨根本在发展生产
针对“我们有没有办法抑制价格上涨”的问题,周望军回答说:应该说价格上涨有些趋势是长期的,有些是短期的。国家根本的措施是要发展生产。
从宏观上,周望军表示要运用货币政策和财政政策进行调控。现在我们已经克服了金融危机的影响,可以考虑把“积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策”,调整为“保持货币流动性的适度和均衡”。对于具体品种的价格上涨,政府通过储备调剂、进出口、发补贴等一系列措施,还是能够应对的。
明年中国经济不会出现滞胀
网友“睦邻不友好”问如何看待“社会上认为明年中国经济可能出现滞胀”的问题,周望军说:滞胀就是GDP不增长,物价涨得很快。我们国家这么多年还没有出现严重的通货膨胀。从现在的情况来看,我们国家完全不会出现滞胀的现象,今年的GDP增长10%左右,CPI3%多一点点,从当前的经济发展形势和整个市场的需求看,我个人判断明年不会出现滞胀。
三招化解农产品中间环节加价
网友“砖家”问如何化解农产品中间环节加价偏多导致价格上涨的矛盾,周望军回答说:第一要减少流通环节的倒手次数,鼓励农超对接,就是超市直接到农民手上采购。第二,建议农民组成蔬菜合作社,跟采购单位进行价格谈判。第三,要整治乱收费的现象。本版文字据中国政府网
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